The Indian stock market witnessed a sharp rebound on Tuesday, 19 November 2024, after enduring a seven-day losing streak. Key indices Sensex and Nifty50 surged impressively, recovering lost ground as global markets provided an upbeat sentiment.
Benchmark Indices Surge
The BSE Sensex climbed by 1,112.64 points or 1.43 per cent, hitting an intraday high of 78,387.63 levels, while the Nifty50 gained 326.85 points or 1.39 per cent, reaching an intraday peak of 23,780.65. This strong recovery brought relief to investors and traders alike, signalling potential stability after a prolonged bearish spell.
Broader Markets Follow Suit
Mirroring the benchmark indices, broader market indices also posted robust gains. The Nifty MidCap index rose 1.83 per cent, reaching an intraday high of 55,037.15, while the Nifty SmallCap index surged 2.18 per cent, peaking at 17,889.50.
Sectoral Performance
Sectorally, most indices registered strong advances. The Nifty Media index emerged as the top gainer, rallying 3.70 per cent to hit an intraday high of 1,969.30 levels. Other sectors such as Nifty IT, Auto, PSU Bank, Realty, Consumer Durables, and Oil & Gas saw gains ranging from 1.83 per cent to 2.23 per cent.
Global Cues Drive Optimism
The recovery in Indian markets aligned with an overall positive trend in global markets. Across the Asia-Pacific region, major indices traded higher.
- Australia’s ASX 200 advanced 0.89 per cent.
- Japan’s Nikkei 225 gained 0.49 per cent, while the Topix climbed 0.61 per cent.
- South Korea’s Kospi edged up 0.07 per cent.
However, some markets lagged, with Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index falling marginally by 0.04 per cent and mainland China’s CSI 300 dipping over 1 per cent.
In the United States, Wall Street saw modest gains. The Nasdaq Composite rose 0.6 per cent, bolstered by Tesla’s strong performance. The S&P 500 added 0.39 per cent, although the Dow Jones Industrial Average slipped slightly by 0.13 per cent.
Expert Insights on the Rebound
Independent analyst Ambreesh Baliga attributed the market recovery to a “natural rebound” following a prolonged losing streak. He added that the upbeat performance of global markets played a critical role in boosting domestic sentiment.
Similarly, Deepak Jasani, head of retail research at HDFC Securities, noted that this recovery reflects a natural response to oversold conditions.
Technical Signals Suggest Rebound Potential
Anand James, chief market strategist at Geojit Financial Services, highlighted technical indicators pointing towards a potential revival. He mentioned that the Relative Strength Index (RSI) appeared to have bottomed out, supporting the rebound.
James, however, advised caution, suggesting an immediate upside cap in the Nifty50 at 23,733–23,788 and indicating resistance around 24,111. On the downside, he emphasised the importance of maintaining levels above 23,565, noting that a failure to do so could delay the recovery.
Relief in FII Selling
Another significant factor contributing to the recovery was the possible respite from Foreign Institutional Investor (FII) selling. Analysts observed a slowdown in the average net sales by FIIs. Over the past two trading sessions, net sales averaged ₹1,626.63 crore, a notable decline from the ₹3,075.92 crore average during the preceding nine sessions.
Analysts believe that reduced FII selling, or even fresh buying, could further bolster the markets and trigger a reversal in the downtrend.
Record Highs in Key Stocks
The rally in broader markets also pushed certain stocks to record highs:
- Indian Hotels Company Limited (IHCL) rose 2.5 per cent, buoyed by strong operational performance in Q2FY25 and optimistic revenue growth guidance.
- Federal Bank surged 5 per cent, supported by robust asset quality and earnings growth expectations.
- Coforge gained 3 per cent, driven by a strong growth outlook and a robust order book.
Outlook: A Recovery in Motion
The rebound in Sensex and Nifty50 has reignited investor optimism after a challenging period. Analysts remain cautiously optimistic, citing positive global cues, technical indicators, and easing FII pressures as key factors supporting the recovery.
While challenges such as seasonal volatility and economic uncertainties persist, the market’s strong performance today signals resilience and sets the stage for potential gains in the near term.