The United States has plunged into fresh trade conflicts with its three largest trading partners, as President Donald Trump’s new tariffs on imports from Mexico, Canada, and China came into effect early Tuesday. The measures, which include a 25% tariff on imports from Canada and Mexico, as well as a doubling of duties on Chinese goods to 20%, are set to shake up nearly $2.2 trillion in annual trade.
Trump’s justification: Fentanyl crackdown
Trump justified the tariffs by accusing all three countries of failing to take sufficient action to stem the flow of fentanyl and its precursor chemicals into the United States. Speaking at the White House, he declared:
“For too long, our neighbours and trading partners have not done enough to stop this crisis. The time for talk is over—America will act.”
The tariffs mark a sharp escalation in tensions with Canada and Mexico, two nations that have enjoyed virtually tariff-free trade with the US for decades under the United States-Mexico-Canada Agreement (USMCA).
Canada hits back with retaliatory tariffs
Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau wasted no time in responding, announcing immediate 25% retaliatory tariffs on C$30 billion ($20.7 billion) worth of US imports. If Trump’s tariffs remain in place beyond three weeks, Canada will extend the tariffs to an additional C$125 billion ($86.2 billion) in goods.
Ottawa’s countermeasures will target key American industries, including:
- Alcoholic beverages – bourbon, beer, and wine
- Food products – Florida orange juice
- Appliances – washing machines and refrigerators
Trudeau criticised the tariffs as a reckless move that would harm businesses and consumers on both sides of the border.
“These tariffs will disrupt an incredibly successful trading relationship and violate the very trade agreement that President Trump himself signed,” he stated.
Ontario Premier Doug Ford also signalled a harsher stance, warning that Canada could cut off nickel shipments and electricity exports to the US in retaliation.
Mexico prepares its response
Mexico’s new President, Claudia Sheinbaum, is expected to announce her country’s countermeasures in a press conference later on Tuesday. Mexico has been a major target of Trump’s protectionist trade policies, and analysts predict it may impose duties on American agricultural products and industrial goods in retaliation.
Escalating trade war with China
Trump’s latest move also intensifies the ongoing trade war with China. The additional 10% duty imposed on Chinese imports follows an earlier 10% tariff from February, bringing the cumulative rate to 20%. These tariffs are in addition to duties of up to 25% imposed during Trump’s first term, affecting over $370 billion worth of Chinese goods.
The newest wave of tariffs will target:
- Consumer electronics – smartphones, laptops, video game consoles
- Wearable tech – smartwatches, speakers, and Bluetooth devices
Beijing’s response has been swift. China’s Ministry of Commerce condemned the move, accusing Washington of “shifting the blame” for its fentanyl crisis. Meanwhile, the state-backed Global Times warned that China’s retaliation could focus on US agricultural products, hitting American farmers hard.
Economic fallout and recession fears
Economists and business leaders have expressed deep concerns over the potential fallout of Trump’s tariffs. The US Chamber of Commerce warned that the move could push North America towards a recession, disrupt supply chains, and cost thousands of jobs.
“Tariffs are a tax on the American people,” said Candace Laing, CEO of the Canadian Chamber of Commerce. “They will drive up costs for businesses and consumers while doing nothing to solve the issues Trump claims to be addressing.”
The automotive industry has been particularly vocal in its opposition. Matt Blunt, President of the American Automotive Policy Council, called for exemptions for vehicles that meet USMCA’s regional content rules.
Even before the new tariffs were implemented, US economic data showed a surge in factory gate prices, reaching a three-year high. Many fear that this latest tariff war could further strain American manufacturing.
Markets react to Trump’s trade war
Trump’s tariff announcement sent shockwaves through financial markets. Global stocks tumbled, while safe-haven assets such as US Treasury bonds surged. The Canadian dollar and Mexican peso both weakened against the US dollar in early trading.
Trump’s aggressive trade strategy continues
Since taking office in January, Trump has moved aggressively on trade. His latest moves include:
- Restoring 25% tariffs on steel and aluminium imports (effective March 12)
- Launching a national security probe into lumber imports, with Canada expected to be hit hardest
- Reopening investigations into digital services taxes, targeting European nations
- Proposing a $1.5 million fee on every Chinese-built ship entering US ports
- Initiating a new tariff investigation on copper imports
With his “America First” trade agenda set to be a centrepiece of his address to Congress, Trump is making it clear that his administration will prioritise domestic interests over international agreements.
Outlook: What happens next?
With three major trade partners now engaged in retaliatory measures, the global economic landscape is growing increasingly unstable. Analysts expect intense negotiations in the coming weeks, but if no resolution is found, businesses and consumers alike may bear the brunt of the economic consequences.